Can the Liberals [Canadian Party] count on the Jewish vote? by: JOHN IBBITSON, Comment by Mohamed Kamel;
Monday, April 21, 2003
American Jews haven't voted en masse for the Republican Party since 1920. Franklin Roosevelt swung the Jewish vote solidly behind his New Deal vision in the 1930s, and Jews in the United States have largely identified themselves as liberal Democrats ever since. They did their duty in 2000 as well, voting heavily in favour of Al Gore and vice-presidential candidate Joseph Lieberman.
But many political observers in the United States believe the small but extremely influential Jewish vote is shifting, and that George W. Bush will be the first Republican since Warren Harding to enjoy their support.
It started with the attacks on New York and Washington, pitting the American government against Islamic terrorists, who are also mortal enemies of Israel. Evangelical Christians, who are avid supporters of Mr. Bush and who usually make Jews nervous, have been trumpeting their Zionist credentials, seeing a reborn Israel as essential to fulfilment of prophecy. Mr. Bush's determination to take on Saddam Hussein, and the efforts of European governments to stop him, have pushed Jews even more into the Republican fold, since many of them see the Europeans, especially the French, as suspiciously pro-Palestinian.
And if any more incentive were needed, a small but vocal minority of Democrats in Congress have gone to extremes in accusing Mr. Bush of abandoning the Palestinians. One influential Democrat, Representative Jim Moran of Virginia, even blamed the Jews for the Iraq war: "If it were not for the strong support of the Jewish community for this war with Iraq, we would not be doing this. The leaders of the Jewish community are influential enough that they could change the direction of where this is going."
After Jewish groups protested, Mr. Moran apologized and was punished by the party. But the remarks only deepened the growing perception that the Democrats are no longer the natural home of the Jewish vote.
Canadian Jews should be as disenchanted with the Liberals as American Jews are with the Democrats. After all, this government stayed neutral during the war, even siding with the opprobrious French. And Jewish leaders say there is, indeed, a growing rift between their community and the Liberal Party.
"I think there is a movement [away from the Liberals]. I think there is a shift," Jack Dimant, executive vice-president of B'nai Brith Canada, said in an interview.
The great difference, however, is that there is nowhere for most Canadian Jews to go. Although the Canadian Alliance full-throatedly supports Israel, with the same evangelical Christian fervour of its American counterparts, the party remains stuck in the West, and alien to the urban centrist sensibilities of Jews in Toronto and Montreal.
If the Alliance could ever make itself more palatable to Ontario or Quebec voters, or if the Conservatives could stage a rebirth of popularity, "then that would change the voting patterns of the Jewish community," Mr. Dimant believes. But, in the meantime, the Liberals get to keep the Jewish vote by default.
The Liberals are also benefiting from the rightward shift of leftist Jews who formerly supported the NDP. Many Jews now believe that the NDP's obsession with Palestinian statehood, and its implacable opposition to the Iraq war, has taken on an anti-Zionist cast. The NDP would disagree, but the undoubted effect has been the migration of some Jews out of the party, with the Liberal Party the only place for them to go.
But if the Liberals can still count on the Jewish vote, the party's leadership candidates, nonetheless, can expect some unpleasant questions from Jewish organizations and Jewish voters during the coming race. Such as:
John Manley, MP Colleen Beaumier is apparently one of your supporters in caucus. What do you think of her visit to Iraq earlier this year? She said she found her Iraqi hosts "extremely charming."
Paul Martin, where were you when student protesters at Concordia University prevented former Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu from speaking? Your condemnation appears to have gone unrecorded.
Sheila Copps, how do you justify your support for a Canadian Museum of Civilization show on Canadian-Arab art that contained elements offensive to many Jews?
Care to explain yourselves? Or, as Liberals, do you simply take the Jewish vote for granted?
jibbitson@globeandmail.ca
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